Time-Varying Income and Price Elasticities of Oil Demand in OECD Countries

Authors

  • Mohamad Husam Helmi Rabdan Academy, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
  • Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Ege University, Izmir, Turkey
  • Çağla Bucak Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Ege University, Izmir, Turkey
  • Esra Ballı Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, Erzincan, Turkey
  • Coşkun Akdeniz Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Tekirdag Namık Kemal University, Tekirdag, Turkey

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15895

Keywords:

Oil Demand, Income Elasticity, Price Elasticity, Time-Varying Panel, OECD

Abstract

This study examines the long-run income and price elasticities of oil demand in 21 OECD countries using quarterly data from 1980:Q1 to 2021:Q3. We find that oil demand is inelastic with respect to both income and prices at 0.117 and −0.179, respectively. The cointegration tests reveal instability in oil price elasticities over time. The time-varying panel data estimates support these findings, showing significant variations in elasticities influenced by oil market dynamics and global events. Income elasticities reached their highest levels during the COVID-19 pandemic, while price elasticities ranged from −0.396 to 0.275. Significantly, the sign of oil price elasticities shifted from negative to positive after 2015, contrary to the law of demand, probably because of declining oil prices during that period. The largest positive and statistically significant price elasticity occurred in early 2020, which can be attributed to the COVID-19-induced decline in oil prices. Overall, this analysis contributes to understanding oil demand dynamics and highlights the impact of economic and oil market factors on elasticities.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Downloads

Published

2024-11-01

How to Cite

Helmi, M. H., Çatık, A. N., Bucak, Çağla, Ballı, E., & Akdeniz, C. (2024). Time-Varying Income and Price Elasticities of Oil Demand in OECD Countries. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 14(6), 303–311. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15895

Issue

Vol. 14 No. 6 (2024)

Section

Articles

License

Submission of an article implies that the work described has not been published previously , that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere, that its publication is approved by all authors and tacitly or explicitly by the responsible authorities where the work was carried out, and that, if accepted, will not be published elsewhere in the same form, without the written consent of the Publisher. The Editors reserve the right to edit or otherwise alter all contributions, but authors will receive proofs for approval before publication.